Research note 02 / physical ground validation

Ground Validation of Model-Tier Inference

A measured Earth-observation model frontier on Jetson Orin Nano, plus the workload-cadence effect that any honest controller comparison must control.

Nomos ResearchNomos-TR-2026-02Version 1.024 August 20265 pagesNot peer reviewed

Abstract

Two MobileNetV3 tiers were fine-tuned directly on an 8 GB Jetson Orin Nano using a fixed spatial split of real Sentinel-2 imagery. Target-built TensorRT engines then processed the same 5,400 held-out images in twelve complete runs. Small reached 90.463% accuracy at 6.506 mJ/image; large reached 91.389% at 8.258 mJ/image. Both are non-dominated. A separate cadence sweep showed why the profile is not just a model property: continuous inference held the GPU near 612 MHz, while modest gaps left it near 306 MHz and nearly doubled latency. This is physical ground evidence, not physical-DVFS, cross-sensor, spacecraft, or flight evidence.

Small and large MobileNetV3 TensorRT tiers plotted by test accuracy and median whole-board energy per image. Small uses less energy while large is more accurate, leaving both non-dominated.
Figure 1 from the paper. Horizontal bars show the minimum and maximum energy/image across three repetitions. Accuracy uses one fixed 5,400-image spatial holdout.

Evidence ledger

Target-side training

MobileNetV3 Small trained in 118.22 seconds and Large in 193.72 seconds. One deterministic eight-epoch run was retained per tier.

Deployed frontier

Small reached 90.463% at 6.506 mJ/image. Large reached 91.389% at 8.258 mJ/image. Neither dominates the other.

Cadence coupling

Full-pipeline gaps held EuroSAT inference at 306 MHz; continuous calls promoted the stock governor mostly to 612 MHz. A separate nine-cadence pilot reproduces the effect with a fixed engine.

Anomaly retained

One large full-pipeline repetition slowed across decode, preprocessing, and inference. It remains in the manifest and every aggregate.

Artifact admission

A later fail-closed loader accepted the approved engine and rejected a same-size, one-bit-corrupted copy before TensorRT deserialization.

What this does not prove

Not physical adaptive DVFS

The stock governor was observed, not controlled. No policy changed clocks per task, and no transition overhead was measured.

Not cross-sensor evidence

The split changes geography within Sentinel-2 RGB. It does not train on one instrument and test on another.

Not a spacecraft result

Board telemetry is uncalibrated VDD_IN. There is no spacecraft thermal plant, radiation environment, operator trace, or flight-software integration.

Immutable predecessor

Beyond DVFS remains frozen at version 1.0.

This companion note adds separate physical ground evidence. It does not alter the earlier controller matrix, its 12-win and 48-tie boundary, or its checksum.

Read note 01 →

Paper and artifacts

Cite

@techreport{nomos2026oringroundvalidation,
  author      = {{Nomos Research}},
  title       = {Ground Validation of Model-Tier Inference for
                 Earth Observation on a Jetson Orin Nano},
  institution = {Nomos Research},
  number      = {Nomos-TR-2026-02},
  year        = {2026},
  url         = {https://nomos.run/research/orin-ground-validation/}
}